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I want a robust statistical / machine-learning model that predicts run totals for both the full game and the first five innings of Major League Baseball matchups. The model must ingest and refresh four key data sets: historical game results, detailed player statistics, real-time weather metrics, and an up-to-date feed of injuries to key players. To keep the forecasts actionable, I’ll need thoughtful feature engineering (park factors, handedness splits, weather-adjusted run environments, etc.) and a validation framework that back-tests against past closing totals so we can see exactly how the model would have performed. Preferred stack is Python with pandas, scikit-learn or XGBoost; however, I’m open to R or another proven toolkit if it suits the job better. Please include clear documentation and well-commented code so I can retrain or tweak parameters as new seasons roll in. Deliverables • Clean, reproducible data-pipeline scripts pulling the four data sources • Fully trained model plus training notebooks / scripts • Evaluation report showing historical performance against the market total, split full-game vs. first-five • Quick-start guide for running daily predictions and updating the data Acceptance criteria: on a blind test set the model should beat a naïve league-average baseline by a statistically significant margin (prove it with the report). Let’s get started—once these pieces are in place I can handle deployment to my own betting interface.
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55 freelancerit tarjoavat keskimäärin $187 USD tätä projektia

Hi there, I’ve carefully reviewed your project and understand you need a robust, data driven model to predict MLB run totals for both full games and first five innings using multiple real time and historical data sources. My approach begins with building a clean data pipeline in Python using pandas to ingest historical results, player level stats, weather APIs, and injury feeds. I will structure this into reproducible ETL scripts with automated refresh capability and consistent data validation. Next, I will engineer predictive features such as park factors, pitcher and batter splits, bullpen strength, weather adjusted run environments, and lineup level impacts. I will then train and compare models using scikit-learn and XGBoost, selecting the best performer through cross validation and hyperparameter tuning. Finally, I will implement a backtesting framework comparing predictions against closing totals, producing a detailed evaluation report that demonstrates statistical improvement over baseline models, along with clear documentation and reusable notebooks. Would you like the model to output betting edge signals such as expected value against market totals or focus strictly on prediction accuracy? Let's chat and get started now! Warm Regards, Aneesa.
$100 USD 1 päivässä
6,7
6,7

Hey there Glane here, hope you're doing well. I can help you in building a predictive model focusing on statistical analysis, feature engineering etc. To make sure the model runs well on unseen data after having a low rmse score. I'm comfortable in both R and Python. Feel free to get in touch
$60 USD 1 päivässä
6,5
6,5

Hello, I have over 7 years of experience in Machine Learning (ML), R Programming Language, Data Visualization, Statistical Analysis, Statistics, and Python. I have carefully reviewed the requirements for the Baseball Totals Prediction Model project. To address the project needs, I propose developing a comprehensive statistical and machine-learning model that predicts run totals for Major League Baseball games. I will create a robust model that incorporates historical game results, player statistics, real-time weather data, and injury updates. By leveraging feature engineering techniques and validation frameworks, the model will provide accurate forecasts for both full-game and first-five innings totals. I plan to use Python with pandas, scikit-learn, and XGBoost for model development. The deliverables will include clean data-pipeline scripts, a trained model with documentation, an evaluation report showcasing historical performance, and a guide for daily predictions. I invite you to connect in chat for further discussion on how we can proceed with this project. You can visit my Profile: https://www.freelancer.com/u/HiraMahmood4072 Thank you.
$100 USD 2 päivässä
6,2
6,2

Hello Sir, What if I could provide a predictive model that sets the watermark for baseball run totals before you even commit? My approach combines robust statistical techniques with tailored machine-learning algorithms, ensuring actionable insights through comprehensive feature engineering and a focus on performance validation. Let’s discuss how we can make your baseball totals prediction a game-changer for your analytics. Best, Smith
$140 USD 7 päivässä
5,9
5,9

I am an expert statistician, Research Writer, and data analyst with more than eight years of experience. I have full command of Excel analysis, SPSS, STATA, R LANGUAGE, AND PYTHON. I am an expert in creating time series prediction models, working with survey data, conducting marketing analysis, building estimators, and medical analysis. I am a perfect match for your project share other details of the work so I can start working on your project. Will complete task on time.
$100 USD 1 päivässä
5,6
5,6

Hello, I’m Ivaylo, and I will build a robust, production-ready statistical/machine-learning model to predict MLB run totals for both full games and the first five innings. The solution centers on a clean, repeatable data-pipeline that ingests four pillars: historical game results, granular player statistics, real-time weather metrics, and an up-to-date injuries feed. I’ll implement thoughtful feature engineering (park factors, handedness splits, weather-adjusted run environments, etc.) and a rigorous validation framework that back-tests against past closing totals, so you can see performance metrics and understand model behavior in different contexts. What you’ll receive: - Clean, reproducible Python-based data pipelines pulling from the four data sources with clear documentation and unit-testable components. - A fully trained model (with train/validation splits) plus Jupyter notebooks and scripts to retrain as new data rolls in. - An evaluation report showing historical performance against the market total, with separate analyses for full-game vs. first-five totals, plus statistical significance testing against a naïve league-average baseline. - A quick-start guide for daily predictions, plus instructions to refresh data and retrain the model as seasons evolve. Deliverables will be well-commented, modular, and ready for deployment in your betting interface. I’ll provide a concise, readable README and an architectural diagram so you can tweak parameters or swap components
$155 USD 6 päivässä
5,3
5,3

Hi Gregory H., This is quite similar to a project I delivered last week, so I can jump straight into execution. Ready to start immediately. Two questions: 1) Which market source should we use for historical closing totals (e.g., Pinnacle/CRIS), and do you have line timestamps so the backtest locks inputs before close? 2) For injuries, what feed/licensing is available, and how should “key players” be defined (e.g., projected PA/IP or WAR threshold) and refresh cadence (hourly vs daily)? Two suggestions: - Model team runs separately with gradient-boosted count models (XGBoost Poisson/Tweedie) for the mean and a companion NB/GLM for dispersion; include starter vs bullpen usage, platoon splits, park-year factors, and weather-adjusted run environment, then simulate to get full-game and F5 totals distributions. - Use time-ordered, purged walk-forward CV and a Diebold–Mariano test vs a league-average baseline; apply isotonic calibration to stabilize edges across seasons. Action Plan: - Phase 1: Data pipelines for games/results, player stats (Statcast-level), weather (forecast + gametime), and injuries; unify IDs; parquet storage; data-quality checks. - Phase 2: Feature engineering: handedness splits, starter/bullpen weights, park factors, density altitude/wind vector, schedule/rest; F5-specific features Best Regards, Sid
$242 USD 5 päivässä
5,3
5,3

As a multidisciplinary technology expert with a mastery of Python, R, and numerous other programming languages, I'm equipped to deliver your dynamic Baseball Totals Prediction Model. My extensive expertise in data science and machine learning is particularly well-suited for feature engineering, data analysis, and predictive analytics that are central to your project. Over the years, I've built sophisticated models in Python using versatile libraries like pandas, scikit-learn, and XGBoost - the very tools you prefer for the job. Your project demands not just coding but a design-driven approach; here my skills in graphic design and UI/UX can play a crucial role in delivering a model that's not only accurate but also provides actionable insights in a comprehensible manner. Being AWS-certified gives me an edge to design and implement cloud-based architectures for your unique requirements. To add, my record of generating clean documentation and well-commented code will ensure that the model can be effectively retrained or parameters tweaked as per new seasons roll out.
$150 USD 3 päivässä
4,4
4,4

Hi there, I understand you need a robust statistical or machine-learning model to predict run totals for Major League Baseball games, including both full games and the first five innings, while integrating multiple dynamic data sources. With strong experience in Python, pandas, scikit-learn, XGBoost, and sports analytics, I can build a structured, reproducible workflow tailored to your requirements. My approach will begin by designing a clean data pipeline that ingests and refreshes historical game results, detailed player statistics, real-time weather metrics, and current injury reports. I will apply thoughtful feature engineering, incorporating park factors, handedness splits, weather-adjusted run environments, and other relevant variables to improve predictive power. The model will be trained and validated using a back-testing framework to measure performance against past closing totals, ensuring actionable and reliable forecasts. Deliverable: Clean, reproducible data-pipeline scripts, fully trained model with training notebooks, evaluation report with performance metrics, and a quick-start guide for daily predictions and data updates. QUESTION: Do you want the model optimized more for predictive accuracy (minimizing error) or for capturing betting-edge scenarios (maximizing deviation from market totals)? Regards, Shehwani.
$75 USD 1 päivässä
4,4
4,4

Dear Sir/Madam, I have experience in machine learning and I am confident that I can build a strong model to predict MLB run totals for full games and first five innings. I can handle data collection, preprocessing, feature engineering, and model building using Python tools like pandas, scikit-learn, or XGBoost, along with proper testing and evaluation. Let’s connect in the chatbox to discuss the project further, including the budget and timeline. I am ready to work with you, please connect in the chatbox for further discussions. Thank You. Dr. Divya.
$100 USD 3 päivässä
4,2
4,2

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅Hi there, hope you are doing well! I have developed several sports prediction models that leveraged advanced feature engineering and real-time data integration for accurate game outcome forecasts. The key to success in this project is harmonizing diverse data sources with thoughtful feature engineering for reliable, actionable predictions. Approach: ⭕ Build robust data-pipeline scripts to ingest and refresh four key MLB datasets in Python ⭕ Engineer features like park factors, weather effects, and player splits to enhance model accuracy ⭕ Use scikit-learn and XGBoost for model training and back-testing with historical closing totals ⭕ Generate a comprehensive evaluation report proving statistical significance over baseline ⭕ Deliver clear documentation, training notebooks, and a quick-start guide for easy daily updates ❓ ❓ Could you specify the preferred sources or APIs for the four data sets? ❓ Would you like the model to predict run totals separately for home and away teams? ❓ Are there any restrictions or preferences on model update frequency? I am confident this project matches my expertise perfectly and I’m eager to start delivering the MLB run totals prediction model you envision. Best regards, Nam
$200 USD 3 päivässä
3,8
3,8

Hi there, I'm Kristopher Kramer from McKinney, Texas. I’ve worked on similar projects before, and as a senior full-stack and AI engineer, I have the proven experience needed to deliver this successfully, so I have strong experience in Python, R Programming Language, Data Visualization, Statistical Analysis, Pandas, Statistics, Data Analysis and Machine Learning (ML). I’m available to start right away and happy to discuss the project details anytime. Looking forward to speaking with you soon. Best regards, Kristopher Kramer
$120 USD 3 päivässä
4,3
4,3

⭐ Hello there, My availability is immediate. I read your project post on Python Developer for Baseball Totals Prediction Model. We are experienced full-stack Python developers with skill sets in: Python, Django, Flask, FastAPI, Jupyter Notebook, Selenium, Data Visualization, ETL AI/ML & Data Science: Model development, training & deployment, NLP, Computer Vision, Predictive Analytics, Deep Learning React, JavaScript, jQuery, TypeScript, NextJS, React Native NodeJS, ExpressJS Web App Development, Web/API Scraping API Development, Authentication, Authorization SQLAlchemy, PostgresDB, MySQL, SQLite, SQLServer, Datasets Web hosting, Docker, Azure, AWS, GCP, Digital Ocean, GoDaddy, Web Hosting Python Libraries: NumPy, pandas, scikit-learn, TensorFlow, PyTorch, etc. Please send a message so we can quickly discuss your project and proceed further. I am looking forward to hearing from you. Thanks
$230 USD 3 päivässä
4,2
4,2

Your baseball prediction model needs four data pipelines plus feature engineering for park factors and weather adjustments. I'll build this with Python using pandas for data processing, XGBoost for the ML model, and create validation scripts that backtest against historical closing totals to prove statistical significance over baseline. I built a similar data-driven system - my algorithmic trading bot that handles real-time market data, automated predictions, and performance tracking. Also created a price aggregation engine tracking 800+ products with automated data refresh pipelines. You can see my work at ffulb.com. Ready to start immediately. I'll deliver the complete pipeline, trained model, backtest validation report, and documentation within your timeline.
$96 USD 5 päivässä
3,3
3,3

Hi, I build statistical and machine-learning models for sports forecasting that go beyond simple predictions, they deliver actionable insights. For your MLB project, I can create a robust pipeline that ingests historical results, detailed player stats, real-time weather, and injury feeds, with thoughtful feature engineering like park factors, handedness splits, and weather-adjusted run environments. The model will include full-game and first-five inning predictions, validated through back-testing against past closing totals to show exactly how it would have performed. I use Python with pandas, scikit-learn, and XGBoost for clean, reproducible pipelines, and the code will be fully documented and easy to retrain as new seasons roll in. Deliverables will include: -Reproducible data-pipeline scripts for all sources -Fully trained model and training notebooks -Evaluation report comparing predictions to league-average baselines -Quick-start guide for daily predictions and updates Before building, I’d like to know, do you prioritize maximizing overall predictive accuracy or agility for daily adjustments in lineups and injuries? That will shape feature engineering and validation strategy. I can deliver a system that beats naïve baselines consistently and gives you actionable run totals you can trust. Zaman
$250 USD 15 päivässä
3,4
3,4

Hello, I can build a robust statistical / machine-learning model to predict MLB run totals (full game and first five innings) using a clean, reproducible Python pipeline. I have solid experience working with sports datasets, feature engineering, and building models that are validated properly against historical results. I can start immediately and focus on building a stable and accurate model that you can continue using long-term.
$500 USD 5 päivässä
2,9
2,9

Hello, I’m interested in Baseball Totals Prediction Model and would be glad to contribute my expertise to ensure its successful completion. I’ve taken the time to understand your expectations and objectives. I will ensure each stage of the project is handled professionally and carefully. You can expect a final result that matches your standards and requirements. I’m a Senior Software Engineer specialising in Python, Machine Learning (ML) and solution design. Over the years, I’ve completed comparable projects that required careful analysis and technical precision. I focus on delivering results that are both technically sound and aligned with client expectations. I have a few questions before we get started. Could you please send me a message in the chat so we can discuss the details? Looking forward, Dax Manning
$200 USD 7 päivässä
2,0
2,0

Hello Client, I’ve read your brief and can build a robust, reproducible Python pipeline and ML system to predict full-game and first-five-inning run totals. I have hands-on experience with pandas, XGBoost/LightGBM and designing clean feature engineering for baseball (park factors, handedness splits, weather-adjusted run environments and lineup/injury impacts). I’ll create ETL scripts to refresh historical results, player stats, live weather and injury feeds, craft features that capture run environment shifts, and train models with a rigorous back-test framework that compares predictions to closing market totals. I’ll deliver well-commented notebooks, trained models, an evaluation report proving statistical improvement over a league-average baseline, and a quick-start guide so you can run daily predictions and retrain as seasons evolve. Next step: I’ll sketch a data-source checklist and initial validation plan within 48 hours. Which data sources or APIs do you already have access to for historical games, player stats, weather, and injuries (or should I source them)? Best regards, Cindy Viorina
$30 USD 15 päivässä
2,2
2,2

Hi, I’ve read your spec and I’m confident I can build a robust totals model for both full games and first five innings. I focus on reproducible Python workflows (pandas, scikit-learn / XGBoost) and will assemble automated pipelines to ingest historical results, player-level stats, live weather, and injury feeds. I’ll engineer features like park factors, handedness splits, weather-adjusted run environments and lineup-driven pitcher exposure metrics, then train ensemble models and calibrate probability outputs so totals map to market-style lines. Validation will use time-aware backtests against historical closing totals with statistical tests showing performance versus a league-average baseline. Deliverables include clean ingestion scripts, training notebooks, a performance report (full-game vs 1-5 split), and a quick-start guide with commented code so you can retrain daily. I can start by outlining required data feeds and a minimal pipeline prototype to validate assumptions. Which sources do you currently have for historical games, player stats, weather, and injuries, and can you provide sample access (CSV/API) for one week of recent data? Best regards, Daniel
$200 USD 4 päivässä
2,2
2,2

Hello, I can build a robust MLB run prediction system combining statistical modeling and machine learning, designed for both full-game and first 5 innings totals with strong backtesting and interpretability. Solution Approach: Data Pipeline: Automated ingestion of • Historical game data • Player stats (pitching/batting splits) • Weather (temperature, wind, humidity) • Injury reports Feature Engineering: • Park factors, handedness splits, bullpen strength • Weather-adjusted run environment • Rolling team/player performance metrics Modeling: • Baseline (Poisson/linear models) • Advanced models (XGBoost / ensemble) for higher accuracy Validation: • Backtesting vs. historical closing totals • Separate evaluation for full game vs F5 • Statistical significance testing vs baseline Deliverables: • Clean Python pipeline (pandas + APIs) • Trained models + notebooks • Performance report with clear metrics • Quick-start guide for daily predictions The final system will be accurate, transparent, and easy to retrain, giving you a clear edge over naïve benchmarks. Best Regards Shubham Sharma
$200 USD 15 päivässä
2,4
2,4

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